Saturday, January 26, 2008

Warren Buffet


There was a one hour interview on CNBC with Warren Buffet, the second richest man who has donated $31 billion to charity. Here are some very interesting aspects of his life:
1. He bought his first share at age 11 and he now regrets that he started too late!
2. He bought a small farm at age 14 with savings from delivering newspapers.
3. He still lives in the same small 3-bedroom house in mid-town Omaha , that he bought after he got married 50 years ago. He says that he has everything he needs in that house. His house does not have a wall or a fence.
4. He drives his own car everywhere and does not have a driver or security people around him.
5. He never travels by private jet , although he owns the world's largest private jet company.
6. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, owns 63 companies. He writes only one letter each year to the CEOs of these companies, giving them goals for the year. He never holds meetings or calls them on a regular basis. He has given his CEO's only two rules. Rule number 1: do not lose any of your share holder's money. Rule number 2: Do not forget rule number 1.
7. He does not socialize with the high society crowd. His past time after he gets home is to make himself some pop corn and watch Television.
8. Bill Gates, the world's richest man met him for the first time only 5 years ago. Bill Gates did not think he had anything in common with Warren Buffet. So he had scheduled his meeting only for half hour. But when Gates met him, the meeting lasted for ten hours and Bill Gates became a devotee of Warren Buffet.
9. Warren Buffet does not carry a cell phone, nor has a computer on his desk.

His advice to young people: "Stay away from credit cards and invest in yourself and Remember:
A. Money doesn't create man but it is the man who created money.
B. Live your life as simple as you are.
C. Don't do what others say, just listen them , but do what you feel good.
D. Don't go on brand name; just wear those things in which u feel comfortable.
E. Don't waste your money on unnecessary things ; just spend on them who really in need rather.
F. After all it's your life then why give chance to others to rule our life."

Monday, July 9, 2007

Good Value - Analabs Resources Bhd


Business Involved … dated July 2007

The company has 40 years’ experience in the environmental business and is involved in three core operations – recycling and waste management, aquaculture and repackaging of chemicals.

Its two recovery and recycling plants were located in Nilai, Negri Sembilan and Shah Alam, Selangor.

The business includes environmental engineering, which involves designing and building water treatment plants for the automobile, electronics, rubber and food processing industries.

Its Value …

As at end-April 2007, it had net cash of RM35.2mil, translating into net cash per share of 59 sen. Net tangible asset (NTA) stood at RM1.59. Besides the net cash, its property, plant and equipment are worth RM57.2mil.

Analabs owned RM51mil net book value of properties comprising office buildings, factories, warehouses and industrial land in Kuala Lumpur, Selangor, Penang and Negri Sembilan based on 2003 prices. If these were revalued at present prices, there could potentially be revaluation surpluses that could add to Analabs’ net assets chest.

As at end-April 2007, the cost of investment in quoted securities stood at RM5.1mil while their market value amounted to RM6.1mil. The bulk of investment is in Genting shares. As announced on May 25 2007, Analabs’ cost of investment in Genting shares totalled RM4.4mil.

Such investments were bought using internal surplus funds, and were aimed at generating higher returns than that of fixed deposit rates and classified as long term investments in the balance sheet for dividend yield and potential capital appreciation. If revalued at current market value, the share investment would translate into a higher NTA of RM1.61.

Assuming that the financial assets were stripped off from the share price, one could be paying only 49 sen per share for the business.

Financial Results …

During financial year ended Apr 30, 2007 (FY07), Analabs posted almost 210% increase in net profit to RM8.4mil from RM2.7mil in the preceding year. Better income derives from the recycling and waste management, and repackaging of chemicals divisions.

Moreover, net profit in FY06 was adversely affected by one-off impairment of RM1.2mil. Earnings per share in FY07 stood at 13.99 sen against 4.5 sen previously.

Revenue in FY07 improved to RM35.4mil from RM34.1mil previously. Excluding the RM1.8mil gain from disposal of shares in FY07, net profit stood at RM6.6mil, still 144% higher than in FY06.

Revenue Stream …

Based on FY07 results, the recycling division contributed over 50% of revenue and 34% of pre-tax profit. The balance sheet indicated that net assets of RM95.6mil were supported by solid assets.

Pre-tax margin for the aquaculture division is attractive at about 56%. While it only contributed 8% to revenue, it comprised 21% of pre-tax profit in FY07.

Its repackaging business accounted for RM21.7mil of revenue and RM810,000 of pre-tax profit.

Going forward …

Analabs is set to benefit from the enforcement of two new Bills on waste management – the Solid Waste and Public Cleansing Management Bill and Solid Waste and Public Cleansing Corporation Bill – passed by Dewan Rakyat.

With strong solid assets and strong cash position, its management indicated that it was seeking various mergers and acquisition options and diversification into new businesses while concentrating on its core business of recycling and aquaculture.

Given the progressive development in the country’s recycling industrial waste management and aquaculture industries, Analabs should be able to continue expanding and generating more returns to shareholders.

Friday, April 13, 2007

When is your turn?


collecting collecting collecting now, waiting it to rebound!!!!!

Monday, April 2, 2007

黑金水務建築股受看好, 馬股次季不缺投資主題

吉隆坡訊)馬股經過首季的標青表現後,第二季可能轉趨平淡,不過,分析員強調,馬股目前不缺投資主題,儘管可能在短期內進行築底調整,但也是逢低承接的良機,建議投資者留意石油與天然氣、水務、建築等領域股項。

分析員認為,馬股的潛在風險主要來自於外圍,特別是國際油價飆高,至於較早拉低全球股市的日圓套利交易、美國呆賬增加等利空的效應則暫時消退,相信不會為馬股帶來威脅。

亞歐美投資銀行在報告中特別提說,馬股暗藏波動幅度提高、交投熱度或較首季低、可能出現受外圍因素影響的套利活動等潛在利空,建議投資者專注在基本面良好的中大資本股。

小資本股暫無力回彈

分析員認為,由於散戶的投資情緒傾向謹慎,連帶以散戶為主要投資對象的小資本股也暫時無力回天。

“儘管馬股從2月底的全球股災中強勁回彈,但是散戶在當時積極進場後卻面對劇烈跌勢的下場,他們目前心態可說是草木皆兵。”

亞歐美投資銀行的散戶活動指數顯示,這批投資者的成交量在2007年2月分別按月與按年增加58.4%與323.7%。

該投資銀行建議加碼石油與天然氣、建築與產業類股。對於種植領域維持中和評估。

分析員認為,第二季的投資主題依然是第九大馬計劃、馬幣升值、政府改善傳遞系統的新政策、強勁的企業獲利成長、政府相關公司(GLC)重組、各領域的併購活動等。

“政府近期的一系列動作釋放出正面的訊息,突顯政府正積極開發柔南特區、吸引外資、推動產業市場與重組旗下公司。”

分析員強調,馬股現有最大推動力依然是全國大選,加上其他因素的推波助瀾,相信綜指可望成為備受關注的區域股市之一。

“其中,貿易盈餘與外匯儲備的增加,加上外國資金組合流進與政府致力吸引外國直接投資等,足以為馬幣升值提供更好的空間。我們估計馬幣兌美元將在今明兩年分別攀至3.40與3.30左右。”

下半年企業獲利料超越預測

分析員指出,以第四季業績為準,企業獲利較市場預測高63%,而且下半年的企業獲利更具有超越市場預期的洽能。

“主要是因為可支配收入與消費情緒逐步改善,馬幣升值,政府逐步落實第九大馬計劃、大馬旅遊年效應等。”

儘管市場普遍關注依斯干達特區的發展,但是分析員認為,特區相關股項較早取得驚人漲幅,加上最新的政策須待第三季才會公佈,相信近期內這批股項不會吸引太多購興。

“在強大的購興推動下,特區相關股項如UEM世界(UEMWRLD,1775)、實達(SPSETIA,8664)、地不佬穩固(TEBRAU,1589)、怡克偉士(EKOVEST,8877)等股項,紛紛取得介於55%至140%的漲幅。”

黑金股東山再起
股項:合順(UMW,4588)、必達(PETRA,7108)、科恩馬集團(KNM,7164)、史格米集團(SCOMI,7158)、沙布拉浪峰 (SAPCRES,8575)、丹絨岸外(TGOFFS,7228)、貝利賽(PERISAI,0047)、環境海事資源(ALAM,5115)、幸馬泰 資源(SUMATEC,1201)、國油氣體(PETGAS,6033)、東方太平洋(EPIC,8265)、戴樂集團(DIALOG,7277)等。

英國與伊朗相持不下造成西亞局勢日益緊張,推動國際油價逼近70美元大關,相信石油與天然氣類股將吸引龐大購興。

而且,市場普遍預測政府將以東部走廊為下一個重點項目,預期有利國家石油等石油與天然氣公司的發展。

儘管首季公佈的石油與天然氣相關合約不如市場預測,但是隨著國際油價居高不下,相信中短期內可望出現更多大型工程。

紅金股漲勢未止
股項:TH種植(THPLANT,5112)、IOI集團(IOICORP,1961)等。

石油價格飆高後,以原棕油作為生物柴油原料更有利可圖,加上美國出現由大豆轉種玉米的趨勢,可能造成大豆供不應求而漲價,有助帶動堪稱“大豆完美替代品”的原棕油繼續攀高。

藍金股閃閃發光
股項:金務大(GAMUDA,5398)、友聯工業(YLI,7014)等。

彭亨與雪蘭莪跨州供水工程的開工日期落在2008年初,相信須在短期內展開投標活動,為總值90億令吉的系列水供工程掀開序幕,相信將吸引不少巨型建築集團的積極參與。

同時,減少水源流失的工程擱置兩年後,相信將在今年加快腳步,特別是雪州的水管更換計劃,友聯工業等水管製造公司可望從這些總值4億5000萬令吉的工程中受惠。

政府相關公司重組
股項:大馬機場(AIRPORT,5014)、馬航(MAS,3786)等。
儘管國庫控股旗下公司的表現多超越綜指,但是相信仍有不少GLC可能宣布財務重組等系列計劃,特別是大馬機場的機會最高。

不過,普騰(PROTON,5304)未能依時公佈策略夥伴,為這項重組計劃添上變數,相信無法在短期內提高股東價值。

至於政府預期透過股票指數基金(ETF)減少在政府相關公司的持股,分析員普遍維持中和的態度。

併購或企業重組
股項:國貿資本(EONCAP,5266)、艾芬控股(AFFIN,5185)等。

國貿資本在興業銀行股權爭霸戰中敗北局,這家全國第七大銀行集團馬上成為其他銀行的潛在併購目標。過去數月,國貿資本大股東多元資源工業(DRBHCOM,1619)洽商以每股9至10令吉脫售手中股權,提高國貿資本易主的可能。

除了國貿資本外,市場傳出香港東亞銀行洽購艾芬銀行20至30%股權的消息、資金充裕的豐隆銀行(HLBANK,5819)大股東丹斯里郭令燦可能展開併購等,也為銀行併購活動增添話題。

Linde AG建議以11億令吉私有化全國最大工業氣體供應公司馬氧氣(MOX,3832)、土著聯昌(COMMERZ,1023)將1億1700萬股配售給東京三菱UFJ銀行等計劃,也突顯當局對於外資持股放寬的態度,有助吸引更多外資前來。

資本管理
股項:萬能企業(MAGNUM,3735)、DIGI網(DIGI,6947)等。

萬能企業與DIGI網皆握有豐裕現金,不排除宣布派發高股息或進行資本回退的可能。

其中,萬能企業在脫售馬化控股(MPHB,3859)股權、雪邦土地等資產後,手中添加超過10億令吉的資金,估計將在公布首季業績時,“順便”宣佈派發最高可達70仙的特別股息。

DIGI網現有每股現金高達2令吉,分析員預計該公司可能宣佈派發最高每股2令吉的每股股息,以減少在無線寬頻上網執照中失利的衝擊。

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

不要对股票说不 第一章 股海导航 : 优秀散户应具备的条件

要会选时

任何涉足股市的投资人,首先必然遇到两个问题:

1.选择买什么股票?

2.什么时候进场买股票?

股市上的机会是层出不穷的,不敢进场永远只能是一名观众,正确选择入市的时机才能手到擒来。在股票市场,每时每刻股价都在上下波动,能够掌握一次短期波动的涨跌时机,可以赚取差价利润,或是摸准一次牛市的降临或是熊市的反转之时机,钞票便滚滚进你的口袋,赚得痛快淋漓。

最近股市大震荡,有位股友打电话来问:“买什么股票好?”

严格的说,这个问题只问对了一半,为什么这样说呢?股市中有句名言:“选择买何种股票,不如选择何时买进股票。”“何时买进股票?”在股票市场是非常重要的一课。

“选股不如选时”这句名言并不是完全否定选股不重要,投资人想在股市上赚钱,选择股票也是一个重要的步骤,但是怎样掌握买卖的时机更是成败的关键。

一个理性的投资人,一般上,除了慎重挑选股票之外,也非常重视“选时”。因为谁也不愿意在高价位买进股票,而在低价位卖出股票,然而,无可否认,很多投资人却不能好好把握买卖时机,从而错过良机,让花花绿绿的钞票从身边溜走。

股市中还有一句耐人寻味的话:“你用不着告诉我买什么,告诉我什么时候买进就行了。”由此可知,掌握时 机是多么重要。选购股票固然要讲求公司本身的质素,但要获利更重要的还是买卖的时机,就是什么时候买进,什么时候卖出。为什么时机这么重要呢?因为股市旺 盛时,百分之八、九十的股票都上涨;股市崩溃时,百分之八、九十的股票都下跌。投资如果掌握好时机,不但可以确保投资的收益提高,而且可以免除长期的等 待,减低机会成本,避免耗费利息的弊病。

比如,在买进的时机还没有来临之时,投资人便急着买进股票,虽然买进的股票具有投资价值,然而,由于上 涨的时机未到,而使投资人望眼欲穿、坐立不安地苦等了一年半载,如果该股不涨反跌,更令投资人捶胸顿足。更不幸的是,有些人因忍受不了焦急等待的痛苦,又 在卖出的时候未到来之前,贸然卖出股票,股市好像偏跟他作对似的,该股票却在他卖出之后,股价节节上升,真令人哭笑不得。

买卖时机更为重要的另一个原因是:即使是蓝筹股或优质股,也无法避免股市的暴跌。从长线来说,虽然蓝筹 股和优质股会从跌势之后回升,并提供给你股息和差价利润,然而,如果你能在跌势来临之前卖出股票,涨势重新开始时再买回股票,不但可以避免股价滑落的风 险,但可以赚取差价利润,你的投资回报将大大的提高。摸准股市的脉搏,正确的掌握买卖的时机,就能成为股市的常胜军。

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

大贏家:一個職業炒手的炒股筆記

一、要走遠路,就要選擇好騎的馬
二、好魚游於海底
三、一只股票有一只股票的性格,摸透了才能駕馭它
四、事情往往是這樣:買什麼股票並不重要,重要的是什麼時候買進
五、股市裡的事,說你是,不是也得是;說你不是,是也不是
六、真正的「好魚」是入市者自身
七、股市沒有昨天
八、消息是財神,可有時候也會是騙子
九、退一步是為了進三步,怕割肉的人就沒有資格進股市
十、做多可以賺,做空也可以賺,惟有貪心不足者除外
十一、買進需要具備一百只眼睛,賣出只要一只眼睛就夠了
十二、什麼風險都不難預測,惟有人對自身最難預測
十三、要想做股市的成功者,就不要怕做向市場投降的「叛徒」
十四、潮有漲必有落,浪有起必有伏,應該逢高出貨,趁跌建倉
十五、當市面上對哪只股票一片叫好的時候,就是趕緊出貨的時候
十六、股市沒有真朋友
一、股市低潮時也有上漲的,火爆時也有下跌的,就在於你拿哪只眼睛看
二、沒有一個好心態,「股海」就是無邊的「苦海」
三、買進不看跌,賣出不看漲
四、牛市不割肉,弱市不怕跌
五、股市被稱為股海,不僅因為其深難測,還因為它拒絕所有單一與重複
六、進入股市,下者輸錢,中者贏錢,上者賺取自我
七、「盈不可久」,狂熱始終是風險的溫床
八、世事如煙,股市也如煙,如沒有在虛虛實實中周旋的本事,很難站住腳根
九、上帝不那麼簡單,可也不是狠毒的
十、人生如股市,隨處都埋伏著陷阱,隨處也蘊藏著機遇
十一、沒有站在一過冷眼旁觀的心理素質,千萬別進股市
十二、年年歲歲股相似,歲歲年年人不同
十三、火爆的行情,往往產生於最難捱的冰點
十四、「將欲與之,必先固之」,要獲得更多,就要準備先付出代價
十五、股票多於白癡,還是白癡多於股票,這是問題的關鍵
十六、炒股炒的是人類的好品德:冷靜、理性、耐心和堅韌
十七、「順勢而為,無為無不為」,是處世之道,也是股市取勝之法
十八、輸贏本是尋常事,悟透人生勝萬金
十九、游在海底的不一定都是好魚,好魚卻永遠向往著海底

作者:俞天白