Wednesday, March 28, 2007

不要对股票说不 第一章 股海导航 : 优秀散户应具备的条件

要会选时

任何涉足股市的投资人,首先必然遇到两个问题:

1.选择买什么股票?

2.什么时候进场买股票?

股市上的机会是层出不穷的,不敢进场永远只能是一名观众,正确选择入市的时机才能手到擒来。在股票市场,每时每刻股价都在上下波动,能够掌握一次短期波动的涨跌时机,可以赚取差价利润,或是摸准一次牛市的降临或是熊市的反转之时机,钞票便滚滚进你的口袋,赚得痛快淋漓。

最近股市大震荡,有位股友打电话来问:“买什么股票好?”

严格的说,这个问题只问对了一半,为什么这样说呢?股市中有句名言:“选择买何种股票,不如选择何时买进股票。”“何时买进股票?”在股票市场是非常重要的一课。

“选股不如选时”这句名言并不是完全否定选股不重要,投资人想在股市上赚钱,选择股票也是一个重要的步骤,但是怎样掌握买卖的时机更是成败的关键。

一个理性的投资人,一般上,除了慎重挑选股票之外,也非常重视“选时”。因为谁也不愿意在高价位买进股票,而在低价位卖出股票,然而,无可否认,很多投资人却不能好好把握买卖时机,从而错过良机,让花花绿绿的钞票从身边溜走。

股市中还有一句耐人寻味的话:“你用不着告诉我买什么,告诉我什么时候买进就行了。”由此可知,掌握时 机是多么重要。选购股票固然要讲求公司本身的质素,但要获利更重要的还是买卖的时机,就是什么时候买进,什么时候卖出。为什么时机这么重要呢?因为股市旺 盛时,百分之八、九十的股票都上涨;股市崩溃时,百分之八、九十的股票都下跌。投资如果掌握好时机,不但可以确保投资的收益提高,而且可以免除长期的等 待,减低机会成本,避免耗费利息的弊病。

比如,在买进的时机还没有来临之时,投资人便急着买进股票,虽然买进的股票具有投资价值,然而,由于上 涨的时机未到,而使投资人望眼欲穿、坐立不安地苦等了一年半载,如果该股不涨反跌,更令投资人捶胸顿足。更不幸的是,有些人因忍受不了焦急等待的痛苦,又 在卖出的时候未到来之前,贸然卖出股票,股市好像偏跟他作对似的,该股票却在他卖出之后,股价节节上升,真令人哭笑不得。

买卖时机更为重要的另一个原因是:即使是蓝筹股或优质股,也无法避免股市的暴跌。从长线来说,虽然蓝筹 股和优质股会从跌势之后回升,并提供给你股息和差价利润,然而,如果你能在跌势来临之前卖出股票,涨势重新开始时再买回股票,不但可以避免股价滑落的风 险,但可以赚取差价利润,你的投资回报将大大的提高。摸准股市的脉搏,正确的掌握买卖的时机,就能成为股市的常胜军。

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